Ready to have your baseball opinions challenged? ESPN's recent bold predictions for the 2026 MLB season are out, and for Brewers fans, they might just be cause for an eye roll. It's that time of year when everyone throws their hat in the ring with predictions, but are they based on solid ground, or just wishful thinking? Let's dive in.
Bold predictions are a tricky game. They need to be exciting enough to grab your attention, but grounded enough in reality to be believable. Take the example of Brewers beat reporter Adam McCalvy, who suggested Brice Turang could hit 30 home runs in 2026. It's a bold claim, but it's based on Turang's improving hitting skills.
But here's where it gets controversial... ESPN's predictions include a Pirates team winning the NL Central in 2026, which feels like a slight to the Brewers, who have dominated the division for the past three years.
The ESPN article is worth a read, offering various interesting predictions. But the Pirates' prediction stands out. The article highlights the Pirates' active offseason, focusing on their moves to improve their offense, including the additions of Ryan O'Hearn, Brandon Lowe, and Jhostynxon García. They also have 2025 NL Cy Young Award winner Paul Skenes leading their rotation.
However, predicting the Pirates will overtake the Brewers seems overly optimistic. This prediction seems to overlook the fact that the Brewers are returning with a team that won 97 games in 2025. The Pirates' offensive additions, while helpful, aren't game-changers. O'Hearn and Lowe are projected to be around 2.0 WAR players, and García has limited MLB experience.
And this is the part most people miss... While the Pirates are improving, are they really ready to dethrone a team that has consistently performed well? The Brewers have consistently been underestimated, even after winning three consecutive division titles.
The Pirates deserve credit for spending money and trying to build a competitive team. But the lack of respect for the Brewers, who have built a strong team in a small market, is what's frustrating. Will a fourth straight division title finally earn Milwaukee the recognition they deserve?
What do you think? Are ESPN's predictions off base, or do you see the Pirates making a run? Share your thoughts in the comments below!